Recently, the rainstorm process with the strongest comprehensive intensity since the flood season occurred in most parts of southern China, accompanied by thunderstorms, gales, hail and other severe convective weather. To this end, the Central Meteorological Observatory quickly established a special team for severe convective forecasting, horizontally integrating the technical strength of meteorological satellites, weather radar, numerical forecasting, artificial intelligence, and big data "four pillars", vertically connecting the communication and cooperation channels of national, provincial, municipal, and county meteorological departments, and building a flat and efficient information sharing hub. At the same time, the "31631" progressive meteorological service mechanism operated smoothly in this severe convective weather forecast service, gradually narrowing the "encirclement circle" by time period, break up period, and target - three days in advance, the National Meteorological Center conducted internal consultations to assess the development trend of this weather process; One day in advance, Zhang Tao, the chief forecaster of the Central Meteorological Observatory, reminded relevant regions to be highly vigilant about extreme weather risks during the national weather conference; Six hours in advance, the Central Meteorological Observatory issued a yellow warning for severe convective weather, launched six rolling short-term forecasts per day, and dynamically targeted areas with high incidence of extreme weather; Three hours in advance, the artificial intelligence proximity forecasting model "Fenglei" releases rolling updates of forecasts every six minutes; Approaching one hour, relying on the short-term forecasting business system of the China Meteorological Administration, closely monitoring the weather situation and assessing development trends, guiding grassroots meteorological departments to issue accurate warnings. Relying on technologies such as artificial intelligence to continuously tackle the challenges of severe convective forecasting, and collaborating through mechanism innovation to accelerate meteorological services, is a vivid portrayal of the efficient operation of the current new forecasting and prediction system. At the beginning of this year, the China Meteorological Administration proposed to accelerate the construction of a new forecasting and prediction system by 2026, improve the forecasting and early warning capabilities of extreme weather and climate events, and enhance the level of intelligence in forecasting and prediction; Pilot the construction of a new generation of short-term warning business system; Strengthen the application of artificial intelligence technology to improve the precision forecast of typhoon and rainstorm; Research and develop water yield prediction products for sub seasonal rainstorm process in key basins, and promote provincial business pilots for sub seasonal prediction of extreme weather events; Establish a national and provincial coordinated research and development platform for digital forecasting, develop intelligent digital forecasting products for industries, and promote the application of digital forecasting intelligent agents. How will the new forecasting and prediction system benefit people's daily lives? Liang Feng, Director of the Forecasting and Forecasting Department of the China Meteorological Administration, stated that on the one hand, more accurate weather forecasts will significantly improve the convenience and safety of daily life. By relying on high-resolution numerical models and artificial intelligence modeling technology, the ability to forecast severe weather events such as heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, strong winds, hail, and cold waves will be effectively improved, directly serving disaster prevention and mitigation decisions and actions. For example, provide scientific basis for personnel transfer, material allocation and emergency risk avoidance before typhoon or rainstorm; Assist the public in scientifically planning travel, adjusting outdoor activities, and taking effective protective measures based on accurate cold wave and high temperature forecasts, effectively reducing disaster risks. On the other hand, richer forecasting elements will deeply empower economic and social development. The meteorological business chain will continue to extend from traditional weather and climate fields to meteorological related industries. For example, providing refined meteorological support for low altitude economic activities such as drones and navigation, ensuring flight safety and efficiency; By using kilometer level forecasting and strong convective short-term warning technology, the accuracy of wind and solar power generation prediction and the meteorological disaster prevention capability of the power grid can be improved. The integration of data and intelligence promotes the construction of a more comprehensive and detailed new forecasting and prediction system. In December last year, the China Meteorological Administration released the "Development Strategy for Earth System Forecasting (2025-2035)", with the goal of tackling the next generation of numerical forecasting models and continuously developing professional models such as wind and solar energy; Optimize the meteorological artificial intelligence model system and research and development mechanism, establish a unified base model, etc. Gong Jiandong, Director of the Earth System Numerical Forecasting Center of the China Meteorological Administration, introduced that traditional forecasting mainly focuses on the atmosphere and the characterization of weather phenomena, while Earth system forecasting can achieve the overall characterization of the interaction and feedback mechanism of multiple layers of the Earth, such as the atmosphere, ocean, land, cryosphere, and biosphere. It not only expands the coverage of forecasting objects, but also pays more attention to the formation, evolution, and impact assessment of risks, providing stronger technological support for disaster prevention and reduction, climate change response, and serving economic and social development. The deepening development of a new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation not only brings urgent pressure of 'slow innovation is not enough', but also creates possibilities for us to achieve overtaking on curves and changing lanes. ”Chen Zhenlin, Secretary of the Party Group and Director of the China Meteorological Administration, stated that the meteorological department will always place the modernization of meteorological technology capabilities at the core of its overall development, strengthen the "artificial intelligence+" action, actively use emerging technologies such as big data, new remote sensing, and new generation communication to cultivate new intelligent businesses, promote the comprehensive expansion of scientific research business into the Earth system, and achieve a significant leap in core capabilities. The China Meteorological Administration recently released a climate trend forecast for the main flood season (June to August) in 2026. The prediction results show that during the main flood season, there are two rainbands in the eastern region of China, north and south, with significantly less precipitation in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River; There are 7 to 9 typhoons that make landfall or significantly affect the coastal areas of China throughout the year; The temperature in most areas is close to the same period as usual and tends to be higher. Chen Zhenlin stated that frequent and intense extreme weather events have overturned traditional understanding, and it is necessary to fully leverage the role of meteorological disaster prevention and reduction as the first line of defense. Based on the current situation, we must continue to strengthen extreme weather monitoring, forecasting, and risk warning, providing support for the prevention of meteorological disaster risks and secondary derivative problems throughout the entire chain; Focusing on the long-term, we will strengthen the analysis of climate change trends and the study of extreme weather occurrence patterns, enhance climate change risk estimation and impact assessment, and help build a climate adaptive society. (Looking into the New Era)