The consumer market at the 50 trillion yuan mark has undergone a systematic "reshaping"
2025-12-26
At the critical juncture of reaching a scale of 50 trillion yuan, by 2025, the Chinese consumer market is undergoing a systematic reshaping driven by technological breakthroughs, value leaps, and model innovations: AI is fully entering the market, reconstructing the consumption chain from the starting point of decision-making; With the rise of China-Chic culture, "Yueji" trend and the demand for green intelligence, consumer value orientation has become increasingly diversified; Instant retail delivers at the minute level, promoting deep integration of online and offline... From decision-making entry, to value orientation, and to implementation scenarios, the three forces interweave and advance, not only interpreting the growth logic of the current market, but also outlining a more intelligent, agile, and diverse future consumption landscape. Reshaping the entrance: AI fully enters the market and reconstructs the consumer decision-making chain. With the deep application of AI, the "fire" of big models has already "burned" from the forefront of technology to the front line of consumption. "AI fully enters the market" has become a keyword that cannot be avoided in the consumer market in 2025. The innovation of technology is starting from the forefront of consumer entry, redefining the connection between "people, goods, and places" and reconstructing the chain of consumer decision-making. This year's Singles' Day can be regarded as a concentrated demonstration of this transformation. On social media platforms, topics such as "AI shopping mentors," "one click generation of optimal shopping lists," and "cross platform price comparison agents" have swept across. Many consumers choose to partially transfer their decision-making power to AI in shopping scenarios with complex decision-making and information overload. The industry has keenly sensed the opportunity of this paradigm shift, and e-commerce platforms and large model companies have been laying out to seize new consumer entry points. Tmall will position itself as the first AI to be fully implemented on "Double Eleven" this year, striving to spread AI penetration from marketing to the entire chain; JD has launched "Jingxiaozhi 5.0", aiming to become a private shopping partner who can engage in deep conversations and actively manage complex shopping journeys; ByteDance allows the big model of Doubao to be deeply embedded in the Tiktok Mall, realizing the seamless integration experience of "talking while watching while buying". In addition, emerging forms such as independent AI shopping assistants and browser intelligent plugins are rapidly growing, further deconstructing and reshaping the form of entrances. The core of a series of layouts is to build the dialogue and understanding ability of large models into a new engine for insight into consumer demand, shortening decision-making paths, and improving transaction efficiency. Although there is still a lot of room for improvement in the application of AI in the shopping field, the market is generally optimistic about its development prospects. Industry predictions suggest that the future development of AI will not only respond to consumer needs, but also proactively perceive, predict, and even awaken potential consumer demands. It will also further optimize the research and development, stocking, and marketing strategies of the industry. According to a report by McKinsey Global Institute, generative AI is expected to create $2.6 trillion to $4.4 trillion in value for the global economy annually. Among them, in the retail and consumer goods industry, generative AI will change the rules and improve efficiency, creating a value of 400 billion to 660 billion US dollars. Structural Reshaping: Diversified Value Orientations Drive Industrial Leapfrogging. As technology reshapes the "entry point" of consumption, consumers' intrinsic value propositions are also undergoing profound evolution and becoming another core force driving changes in the market landscape. In 2025, emotional and social consumption with China-Chic culture and "Yueji" as the core will increase significantly. At the same time, against the backdrop of a general increase in rational consumption awareness, consumption trends that combine energy conservation, practicality, and technological upgrading needs, such as green intelligence and circular economy, are becoming increasingly mainstream. Young people are keen on "gold mining", and new gold consumption patterns have emerged. Gold China-Chic products such as Ping'an buckles, Ping'an locks, and Pixiu are favored by young people; Huajianzong, Guyu and other brands also take advantage of China-Chic single products to break through... On some shopping platforms, Chinese fashion products frequently appear. In fact, China-Chic consumption is expanding from clothing to lifestyle, cultural tourism experience and other fields, showing a trend of popularization and daily life. According to the report of Smart Research Consulting, the scale of China's China-Chic economic market will exceed 2 trillion yuan in 2024, and is expected to reach more than 3 trillion yuan in 2028. Labubu and other hip-hop IPs, which were born in the hands of Chinese designers, have even delivered the China-Chic fever to the world. At the same time, the wave of "self pleasure" consumption centered on focusing on one's inner needs is also surging. From Shanghai Bilibili World 2025 to attract 400000 young people to ignite anime consumption, to the fireworks driven by Jiangsu "Soviet Super League" events, the "emotional economy" with emotional resonance and interest satisfaction as the core has become an important engine driving growth. The industry predicts that the scale of China's "emotional economy" is expected to exceed 2 trillion yuan by 2025. It is worth noting that while consumers pursue individuality and emotional satisfaction, they also have higher requirements for product functionality, durability, and long-term holding costs, driving the market towards a benign structure of "high quality and good price". At the mobile phone recycling store in the mall, the staff completed the real-time valuation of the old phone in just a few minutes, and then handed over the new phone with completed data transmission to the consumer. Nowadays, such scenes are becoming increasingly common, and the circular economy has also been reflected in real life from the concept of environmental protection. According to a survey by JD Consumer and Industrial Development Research Institute, the concept of "regenerative consumption" has gained recognition from over 80% of consumers, with more than half of the high-frequency participants. According to data from the second-hand trading platform Xianyu, there are 7 million idle items posted on the platform every day, and the daily average number of traded goods has increased by 30% year-on-year. Intelligence redefines the core and long-term value of products. In the automotive industry, consumers' focus has shifted from range acceleration to intelligent driving computing power and cockpit interaction. According to data from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, in the first three quarters of 2025, the sales penetration rate of new passenger cars with L2 level assisted driving functions will reach 64%. The first batch of L3 level autonomous driving vehicles in China have also recently obtained conditional access permits. Basic intelligent driving functions are becoming a "standard" for Volkswagen models, while advanced intelligent driving to cope with complex urban scenarios has become a new focus of competition. The current consumer market is showing a multidimensional trend of change, with the core evolving towards a consumer centric approach. ”According to a research report by Bank of Communications International, in terms of consumer trends, cost-effectiveness and emotional value jointly dominate current consumer decisions, providing key directions for enterprises in product innovation and brand building. Scenario reshaping: Real time retail drives the deep integration of online and offline value orientations, ultimately requiring matching consumer scenarios to achieve. Against the backdrop of increasingly improved infrastructure and continuous technological empowerment, a retail revolution measured in minutes is unfolding in the Chinese consumer market, changing consumer habits with unprecedented depth and breadth. According to a report by the Research Institute of the Ministry of Commerce, the size of China's instant retail market is expected to reach 971.4 billion yuan by 2025, just one step away from the trillion yuan scale. The huge market cake attracts e-commerce giants to compete. At the turn of spring and summer in 2025, the three major platforms of JD.com, Alibaba, and Meituan will intensively carry out strategic upgrades and resource integration, and invest billions of yuan in subsidies, sparking a nationwide e-commerce war. The total daily order volume of the industry has skyrocketed from about 100 million orders per day to over 200 million orders per day. This war has gradually calmed down under the guidance of intensive "anti involution" regulations by regulatory authorities, but its changes to the underlying logic of the consumer market and consumer habits are irreversible. Du Guochen, Director of the E-commerce Research Institute at the Ministry of Commerce Research Institute, stated that with the continuous penetration of instant retail into the local retail supply system, residents' recognition of instant retail has been continuously increasing, and it has evolved from meeting emergency needs to a daily lifestyle. He provided a set of data, stating that the scale of instant retail in China will exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2026, and is expected to reach 2 trillion yuan by 2030, with an average annual growth rate of 12.6% during the 15th Five Year Plan period. At present, China's instant retail is at a critical juncture of moving towards a trillion level scale. It is worth noting that the competition among e-commerce giants is not limited to online traffic and transportation deployment, but also further drives the active expansion of e-commerce platforms into offline physical fields. Major platforms are accelerating the layout of offline nodes such as community stores, pre warehouses, and brand experience stores through self construction, cooperation, or transformation, making them new touchpoints for real-time fulfillment of network infrastructure and user services, and achieving collaborative value-added of online traffic and offline experience. According to the "Report on the Development of Instant Retail Industry (2025)" by the Research Institute of the Ministry of Commerce, pre positioned warehouses contribute more than half of the instant retail transaction volume and are an important supply chain for instant retail. The front-end warehouse data has grown significantly, with increasing density, gradually covering communities in first - and second tier cities, and placing goods within a 3-kilometer range of consumers, greatly reducing the "last mile" delivery radius. Traditional retail relies on geographical location and shelf size, while new channels focus more on consumers' immediate needs, shopping efficiency, and scene experience. The flow path and value chain of goods are being redefined. A completely new retail landscape has already unfolded. Looking back at 2025, the evolution map of China's consumer market is becoming increasingly clear: technological innovation has reshaped the "entry point" of consumption, cultural confidence, individual consciousness, and sustainable development concepts have jointly reshaped the "value structure" of consumption, and the integration of online and offline has reshaped the "scene" of consumption, deeply forcing the transformation and upgrading of the entire chain of research and development, production, circulation, and service in the industry. Looking ahead to the future, Zhu Keli, founding director of the National Research Institute for New Economy, said, "The competition in the consumer industry will inevitably be a comprehensive competition of product hard power, brand soft power, and emotional connection. In this deep reshaping composed of policies, technology, culture, and billions of consumers, a smarter, more diverse, and faster domestic market is accelerating to form
Edit:Momo Responsible editor:Chen zhaozhao
Source:Economic Information Daily
Special statement: if the pictures and texts reproduced or quoted on this site infringe your legitimate rights and interests, please contact this site, and this site will correct and delete them in time. For copyright issues and website cooperation, please contact through outlook new era email:lwxsd@liaowanghn.com