Military

Combat planning needs to be wary of 'path dependence'

2025-08-14   

Path dependence refers to a phenomenon in which people have a restrictive impact on their current and future choices due to the inertia patterns formed by past choices and experiences, manifested as using habitual methods and following familiar paths. Combat planning is the operational planning of combat actions, aimed at transforming strategic objectives and campaign tasks into specific combat plans and schedules through creative planning and procedural planning. In combat planning, influenced by traditional combat thinking, force structure, tactical tactics, etc., there are similar path dependencies in combat organization, action design, and tactics application, which need to be highly valued and effectively avoided through various measures to ensure the flexibility and feasibility of the proposed combat plan and strategy. Be cautious with 'standard parts'. With the application of various information and intelligent planning methods, combat planning is gradually transforming towards specialization and engineering. Various task modules, typical formations, action components, etc. have gradually become the "standard components" in joint combat planning. Extracting various "standard components" and then assembling them into various schemes and plans using the method of stacking wood has become a common practice. When using "standard components" for combat planning, although the planning efficiency is improved, these "standard components" may lead to generalized task understanding, solidified force utilization, and rigid action design in the planning process, which to some extent limits the application of creative and strategic thinking in combat planning. Therefore, when conducting combat planning, it is necessary to differentiate between high, medium, and low intensity differentiated combat conditions based on changes in combat requirements under different scenario conditions, enemy threat development, and expansion of capability boundaries. Accurately grasp mission conditions according to time, situation, and situation, flexibly organize combat forces, dynamically design combat actions, and ensure that combat plans and strategies have flexibility and adaptability. Utilize the 'War Law Library' effectively. With the application of military chess deduction, live fire exercises, simulation and other means, the tools for innovative tactics have become more diverse, the achievements of innovative tactics have become more abundant, and the "tactics library" has become more abundant, providing a rich selection of tactics to support joint combat planning. But if we just blindly follow the established methods, it is easy to fall into the trap of "preconceived notions" in enemy situation analysis, "wishful thinking" in task understanding, and "sticking to conventions" in tactics design, resulting in poor quality of planned plans and strategies. Therefore, when conducting combat planning, it is necessary to break through fixed thinking patterns and be adept at using reverse thinking, abnormal thinking, and divergent thinking, carefully selecting tactics, flexibly changing tactics, and cleverly innovating tactics for different tasks, enemy situations, battlefields, opportunities, forces, and other practical situations, so that the designed tactical tactics are creative and flexible to adapt to complex and changing battlefield situations. Cleverly use the 'scene set'. With the widespread application of combat scenarios in the development of combat concepts, weapon and equipment construction, and combat testing and identification, scenario construction has become an important tool for understanding combat issues and clarifying combat requirements. The "scenario set" of various levels of combat is becoming increasingly rich, providing strong support for commanders and reference teams at all levels to quickly form a unified understanding of the battlefield and carry out distributed planning operations. When using the "scenario set" for combat planning, although the planning is more targeted, most of these scenarios focus on a certain field or serve a certain purpose, which is difficult to meet the planning needs under the rapidly changing situation in future operations. Therefore, when conducting combat planning, it is necessary to accurately and thoroughly understand key issues such as combat opponents, combat objectives, and combat priorities based on the battlefield situation, focusing on optimizing the allocation of combat resources, flexible use of combat forces, and efficient utilization of combat time and space. The existing scenarios should be combined and used to support the adjustment and optimization of action processes and strategies, ensuring that the formulated plans are more targeted and executable. (New Society)

Edit:XINGYU Responsible editor:LIUYANG

Source:81.cn

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