On July 2nd, the China Logistics and Purchasing Federation released the China Logistics Prosperity Index (LPI) for June 2025, which was 50.8%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. He Hui, Vice President of the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing, believes that the logistics prosperity index in China rebounded in June and continued to maintain an expansion trend. Since the beginning of this year, it has been in the expansion zone for four consecutive months. At the same time, the development of logistics in the industry has shown certain seasonal characteristics. Specifically, the overall business volume index has rebounded and maintained an expansion trend. In June, the total business volume index was 50.8%, and it has been in the expansion range for four consecutive months this year. Hu Han, Deputy Chief Economist of China Logistics Information Center, stated in an interview with reporters that the total business volume slightly rebounded in June, mainly due to factors such as improved demand in the eastern region and weakened external impacts on the previous industrial chain. By region, the total business volume index of the three major regions is in the expansion range, but there is some differentiation. The total business volume index of the central and western regions is higher than the national level, at 51% and 52.8% respectively, while the total business volume index of the eastern region is lower than the national level, but has significantly rebounded month on month. It is worth noting that some logistics fields continue to expand with obvious seasonal characteristics. By industry, the total business volume index of road transportation, railway transportation, air transportation, postal express delivery and other industries are all in the prosperous range. Driven by online shopping and seasonal fresh cold chain commodity demand, the total business volume index of postal express delivery and air transportation industries are 69.3% and 52% respectively, indicating a clear expansion trend. Some surveyed enterprises in certain regions have reported that in the aviation logistics business, seasonal fruits and vegetables, as well as cold chain flowers, not only have their total business volume continued to rise, but their new order business volume has also maintained a trend of recovery. In addition, the logistics service price index has slightly rebounded, but operational pressure still exists. In June, the logistics service price index rebounded by 0.3 percentage points compared to the previous month, with railway transportation, road transportation, water transportation, air transportation, and postal express delivery logistics service price indices rising by 0.2 percentage points, 0.1 percentage points, 0.4 percentage points, 0.2 percentage points, and 0.2 percentage points, respectively. Hu Han stated that although service prices have rebounded, there is still pressure on profitability and capital turnover due to increasing competition and operational pressure. In June, the main business cost index increased by 0.3 percentage points compared to the previous month, with the main business cost index of railway transportation, air transportation, and postal express delivery exceeding 55%; The turnover rate index of enterprise funds in June was 50.5%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous month; In June, the main business profit index of enterprises fell by 0.1 percentage points month on month, marking two consecutive months of decline. From the perspective of logistics investment, the growth of basic logistics investment was stable in June, and the index of completed fixed assets investment rose 0.3 percentage points month on month. From the perspective of the later market, the business activity expectation index has remained in the high prosperity range of over 55% for four consecutive months. The expected business activity indices for railway transportation, air transportation, multimodal transport, and postal express delivery in June reached 55.3%, 58.7%, 52.6%, and 57.4%, respectively. In Hu Han's view, as June enters the flood season, favorable factors, unfavorable weather, and uncertain demand are intertwined, and the development of industry logistics presents certain seasonal characteristics. From the perspective of favorable factors, the demand for coal transportation during the peak summer season is good, driven by the increase in orders for household appliances and 3C products through trade in. Summer travel promotes strong demand for cultural tourism, e-commerce, and outdoor products. Data shows that demand in railway transportation, road transportation, e-commerce express delivery, and other fields remains on the rise. However, at the same time, many parts of the country entered the flood season earlier this year, with more abnormal weather. The continuous high temperatures and heavy rainfall in some areas have put certain pressure on efficient and smooth logistics. From an uncertainty perspective, the repeated impact of the international economic and trade environment continues to test the resilience of the industrial chain, with unstable business vitality and profitability, and fluctuations in relevant operational indicators. ”Hu Han suggested that firstly, we should combine the new situation, new formats, and seasonal characteristics to guide logistics demand and continuously transform new order business into actual business volume growth; Secondly, for the flood season and summer transportation, it is necessary to develop transportation capacity guarantee plans and emergency plans for mainline transportation and urban logistics; The third is to enhance the predictive analysis of logistics' going global ', take multiple measures to govern the industry's' internal competition', and continuously optimize market order. (New Society)